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Cake day: January 11th, 2024

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  • “I can’t believe it so it’s likely untrue,” is a fundamental misinterpretation of what I’m saying. “There is enough evidence of a Trump/Russia connection without unreliable sources,” would be more accurate.

    Believing unverified claims has consequences. Remember the Steele dossier, with its wild allegations of blackmail and urinating prostitutes? It’s now pretty much entirely discredited due to unreliable sources, and the very real, very clear connection between Trump and Russia lost credibility with it.

    Similarly, the Mueller investigation was also undermined by outlandish claims. Left-leaning grifters like Louise Mensch and the Krassenstein brothers made predictions of imminent arrests and treason charges. When the Mueller Report was finally released, it stated that, while there wasn’t enough evidence to say Trump definitively colluded with Russia, there was no evidence to clear him of that charge, and he committed criminal obstruction of justice during the course of the investigation. That should have been a damning conclusion, but after months of wild speculation and overhype, it was labeled a nothing-burger.

    So, I’m going to remain skeptical of an old KGB agent’s Facebook post about a 38 year plot to recruit Donald Trump as a spy, and instead stick to what is known: Trump has long had business dealings with Russian oligarchs, the Russian government supported him through online propaganda, there were credible accusations of collusion between his campaign and Russia, and he is now promoting a pro-Russia foreign policy. That’s significant enough.

    And that is not saying, “I can’t believe the world is round so Occam’s razor it must be flat because that I can understand.” That’s saying, “I can see the Earth I’d curved, and while some people claim we’re actually on the back of giant turtle, Occam’s Razor says it’s probably just round.”


  • I’m always skeptical of claims like this. Don’t get me wrong, Trump is actively working to advance the Russian agenda, and Russia has actively supported him financially and through propaganda. But I’m wary of tales of kompromat or clandestine, decades long KGB plots.

    Occam’s razor, I think Trump is a piece of shit that would destroy his own country to make a quick buck, and Putin offered him a quick buck. Honestly, elaborate Manchurian Candidate conspiracies would probably be less scary than the idea that our entire democracy can collapse because one real-estate conman was willing to sell us all out.




  • If the independent calculations are correct, DOGE has cut $8 billion in government spending. 20% of that, divided amongst 350 million Americans, would be $4.57. If DOGE’s claims are correct (and they’re not), they cut $55 billion, which would be $31.43. Even if DOGE met it’s goal of $2 trillion, that would be $1,142.86, which would be a significant one time payment for a lot of Americans, but wouldn’t offset the loss of Medicaid, Medicare, Social Security, a functioning Post Office, etc.


  • I mean, yeah, if you want to have a populous movement, you can’t do it without half the country. Also, sure, hardcore MAGA voters are fragile, racist, white working class folks, but the majority of people in these districts aren’t that type of voter. Most of them are low information voters who pulled the lever for Trump because they liked one or two things he said in a speech. Even more of them are people who just didn’t like either candidate and decided their vote wasn’t important. We need to activate those people and get them to scream at their Senators and Congressmen if we want to stop Trump and Musk from gutting our democracy.



  • First of all, good riddance, glad we won’t have to see this old ghoul anymore. I hope whatever neurological condition he has kills him before he can enjoy his retirement.

    Second of all, a lot Democrats should follow suit. Congress is ancient, but the Democrats are, on average, even older than the Republicans, and that’s one of the main reasons they keep getting their asses kicked. If we’re going to stop the fascists that have seized our government, we need people with fresh ideas and the energy to fight. Schumer has demonstrated over the last month that his is in no way capable of meeting this moment, and he should set an example for his fellow geriatrics by stepping down from leadership and not seeking reelection, just like McConnell did.



  • Well, that’s true, but the Zoomers are facing some unique headwinds. They’re the first generation to come of age in a post internet era, and I’ve heard people argue that being inundated with social media as well as having such easy access to pornography is giving them a warped view of sex and personal intimacy. There’s also data going back to 2017 saying they have less sex than previous generations. And on top of that, many of them had Covid interrupt what should have been their formative sexual years.

    Anyway, I’m certainly not excusing any of these little shits that become Nazis. But when I think about how I was as an adolescent, and then think about what these kids have to deal with, I can definitely understand how someone like Andrew Tate could manipulate them.