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Cake day: March 5th, 2025

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  • This is also called a buy phase

    Buy low, sell high

    Trumps policies are expected to pass costs on to consumers but have the benefit of maintaining production and development internally which should long term keep more money inside the USA, hardening supply lines against foreign influence. Given that China is openly campaigning for war on Taiwan by 2027 latest, and they’re responsible for close to 80% of critical imports to US minerals, this puts the US in a predicament which Trump (probably not on purpose tbh, I won’t give him the credit) is preparing for.

    Tariffs on raw metals and minerals have proven effective since his first term with significant improvements in domestic refinement.

    -“Tardif pass-through and implications for domestic markets: Evidence from US steel imports” Ahmad et al. (2023).

    This isn’t shared by other aspects of the supply network though like finished products or more complicated manufacturing because market instability halts investment in those areas, so no development actually increases in the US and prices just increase. This is a fatal flaw in the tariff calculus that is hurting trade and the economy. Manufacturing takes years to develop and adapt, and no one will leap on that kind of investment without clear assurances.


  • The science doesn’t matter anyway, if it did, and this wasn’t just about money and politics, countries like Canada wouldn’t be charging a carbon tax, driving up prices for Canadians making them more poor which science says makes them worse polluters. Instead we would be shipping natural gas to India and China to phase out their coal consumption. We’d be using pipelines to cut carbons emissions from transportation vehicles. We would be using tax dollars to install solar on people’s homes for them, reducing infrastructure maintenance and upgrade requirements for line and roads.

    It’s not about the science. It never was. That’s why we are all doomed.


  • I love the parliamentary system, but done properly, there is proper accountability. For example, the King serving for life means your check and balance has no need for political affiliation. Unlike the GG who holds that power in Canada who is appointed on the recommendation of the PM, which no recommendation has never been rejected by a monarch in modern history, ergo according to Canadian law means the PM selects their boss (confirmed by Justice Crampton). They choose and fire the AG and their recommendations are always approved by convention in Canada (confirmed by the investigation into the Wilson Raybould case), and they are able to escape accountability by proroguing parliament until other problems take precedent to not be held accountable in the house (currently what we’re seeing with the Trump nonsense overtaking the green slush fund debate that every single opposition party was working together to hold them accountable for for the first time in almost a decade or more, which started in the fall and is still unresolved half a year later).

    In the UK, judges have ruled on PM decisions, there is a precedent there. The King holds actual power. The House of Lords are a functional upper house with actual authority.

    It’s not like that here. Our systems are mostly superficial at best, and retirement plans for plutocrats at worst.

    I do stand corrected on Carneys net worth, which also raises another question of, if he’s good with money and knows what he’s doing, why isn’t he more rich? If you only have that much money as an investment banker, and after leaving as CEO of one of the largest companies in Canada, you’re lying about your money, have it hidden somewhere else, or you owe a ton of money to people and are flat out broke. All of those should scare you as much as the concept of him being a multibillionaire, which there are no credible sources on, but I’d be more inclined to believe.

    A good investment banker has no money, and their money is in, investments, in offshore accounts, that we would never know about.

    My two cents. Totally all over the place on that one, sorry for the written spew.



  • He is an unelected dictator, and the point is that our system is flawed. He was not voted in, he was elected by a select few Canadians to run a party that has avoided confidence votes for months meaning they’ve avoided accountability to Canadians which a Supreme Court justice confirmed as problematic.

    Like to say that he represents Canadians would be an absolute lie. He has absolute power, and yet has not faced a general election.

    The justice even confirmed that PMs have no accountability even internally, as we saw with the Wilson Raybould crisis, we scandal, green slush fund, etc.

    This guy bought himself the PM seat, and is now PM. How is that in anyway democratic?

    Also to bring up whataboutisms just proves you have no serious dispute.

    Also proportional representation is actually ridiculously stupid. What makes more sense is a ranked ballot first past the post.


  • If it makes you feel better, that’s the way it is in most countries. The US is actually the oddball letting unelected bureaucrats run a portion of the executive branch. In Canada for example, we don’t even vote for our prime minister, and they hold absolute executive power with only symbolic cheques and balances (whom they appoint and dismiss) which a federal judge just confirmed during a hearing on proroguing our parliament. So, as bad as it seems, it could be worse. We aren’t even allowed to share non canadian news unless the platform has an exclusive agreement with the news outlet to compensate them.

    Trump may sound like a dictator, but at least he actually CAN be removed and was voted in. Our last prime minister threw a tantrum and had to have people convince him to step down, because there was no other legal way to remove him, and anyone who tried he just kicked out of cabinet.

    The fact that you can see that things are messed up means you have more freedom than you may think. Most Canadians think things are fine here, while we have the highest number of Canadians ever going to food banks, and a billionaire just took over as PM without an election, and is currently polling to win the election he called because well he’s a billionaire in a poor country and can just buy the victory.

    The biggest argument so far against Trump “you voted for a billionaire and you thought he cared about you” is a valid one, and yet we’re doing it here like lemmings.

    All I can say is I hope the world changes fast.













  • I wish I could find it, but I can’t remember which research paper I came across it for; however there is a routine survey and report that measures how Americans feel about core values over time with no changes in the questions, and what it’s shown is that conservatives have moved a little bit more right of centre on most issues, but that liberals have moved almost entirely to the far left.

    The thing is, the whole point of liberalism is to consistently move the needle of progress. So it baffles me people fail to realize that today’s “normal” leftist ideologies a decade ago were those people you’re mentioning. But to someone who is still fighting those ideals and hasn’t changed their stance at all, they are still radical ideals.