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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 10th, 2023

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  • I honestly haven’t considered that one, definitely more likely to be followed, but I suspect Panama would likely sabotage it before letting it fall into US hands at this point.

    Any sort of physical aggression would probably be unpopular with US citizens again because there’s no provocation from Panama, US ships use it all the time so there’s really no reason to take it by force. Once there are losses of military men and women in fighting over it it would likely quickly turn it into a deeply unpopular situation.

    There are militarily strategic reasons to take Panama though, which is why the generals may still agree. If trump were to declare some sort of semi-war on China for example and the goal was to reduce Chinese global shipping capacity.







  • The first argument is a non-starter, professions have come and gone for all of human history. Where did all the people who raised and trained horses go when cars came out? Where did all the people go who made buggies and coaches? What about people who lost their jobs to construction equipment like excavators? What about switchboard operators at telephone companies?

    The economy will re-organize itself to adapt to the newly available labour. Don’t get me wrong, individuals are going to be absolutely devastated by this, but not replacing someone who’s doing a job that can be automated is no different than having them dig a ditch and fill it back in. It’s never a good idea to hold back technology just to keep jobs around. This path leads to the Amish.

    Liability for accidents has already been sorted out for 100% autonomous cars, it’s the vehicle manufacturer’s fault. For most of the current ones on the road, they are modified existing vehicles, so the manufacturer would be said to be the self-driving company (like Waymo) though once the software is built in from the factory it will be on Ford or Nissan or whatever likely in partnership with a software vendor. They may insure themselves, but likely only against catastrophic situations rather than day-to-day accidents.

    They are definitely considering cyberattacks.



  • The benefit to self-driving cars is self-evident though. There’s no argument that they wouldn’t be better than human drivers in theory. Not only for safety, but for traffic, parking, cost, etc.

    The only thing holding them back a this point is refinement. They have already proven that in at least three cities, they are mile for mile safer than human driven vehicles.

    Waymo has gone from 1 city, to 3, to now pushing out to 11 in a few years. I wouldn’t be surprised if it doubled 5 times again in the next 10 years. That would put it in just under 200 cities by 2035.

    The first iPhone only sold a million units in the first year, but two years later there were 25 million iPhones and they hit the 200 million mark by year 5.




  • You’ve cast double on my links, but you’re clearly too young to actually remember these things happening. I’m not. I do remember lots of people laughing and dismissing all three as never going to be for normal consumers (I’m not old enough to remember them laughing at cars)

    You’re also clearly not paying attention to this industry if you think Tesla is a leader. You’ve only caught what made the news in the UK.

    Waymo is far and away the leader, having hundreds of cars driving around daily with nobody behind the steering wheel.

    Mobileye(NA and Europe) and Baidu(China) are also actively driving around without drivers in certain places.

    The only place Tesla has them fully autonomous is in the factory as far as I know.


  • Then the gang is going to have to take out both the self-driving car company AND the cellphone company at the same time. It’s not just one getting the data, and again it’s going to get noticed immediately if cars start going missing and data is being blocked. They may get ahold of a few dozen cars if they try to do it quickly, but they won’t get even hundreds.

    The battery may worth something, but it’s a lot of effort to steal a car just to get a $15k battery. Criminal gangs aren’t stealing 5 year old Kia Niros for resale across the globe, they generally target vehicles worth 3-10x that much.

    There’s no “source code” for self driving cars in the sense that a video game has source code. The cars have some normal code yes, but the self-driving portion is a trained machine learning model that is essentially a black box. It takes millions of compute hours on high end graphics cards along with millions of hours of driving data to generate a new version of that model. Stealing the existing driving model still won’t make it work in West Africa or the Middle East. Stealing the training data wouldn’t help get it driving there either, they’d have to collect millions of hours of local training data for each destination.

    It would be easier for these gangs to start their own self-driving company.



  • I’m going to go out on a limb here and say you’re not in North America. I don’t think there’s anywhere you can buy land for $5k in a city around here. This changes things unfortunately,

    For smaller values of land you want it to be more of an impulse purchase rather than logical one.

    If you’re in a country where $15k is a substantial sum of money, then this simply won’t work.

    If you want this to work you need customers who won’t even bother comparing it to other properties, you need to make it easy for them to see way more than $15k of value for their life (camping, relaxing, sporting, etc.) and make it REALLY easy for them to buy.

    Scam or not, you should at the Timeshare industry as an example of how this is normally done.